Archive for June, 2009

Why Obama Cannot Fix The Economy

economy
Eric Kaad asked:


First, what is an economy? An economy is the ability for a country to produce, trade, and consume the goods and services that it produces - Business supply and consumer spending.

Some recognizable components of a healthy economy would be 1) a vibrant business climate supported by high manufacturing levels 2) very low unemployment 3) a stable equities market 4) affordable goods and services 5) and low outstanding corporate and personal credit obligations even though the credit is available.

Achieving economic recovery under the Obama administration would go against the very core of current Democratic Party ideology in that it would need to develop an alliance with the big business community.

The Democratic Party establishment has moved so far to the left in adopting progressive liberal policies; government provided healthcare, high taxation on the wealthy, and the elusive global warming issues, that to even consider working with the business community in order to realize economic revitalization would be considered heresy by party elitists.

Whether we like to admit or not the wealthy and the business community are the producers of our society whereas the government does not produce anything. Therefore, you cannot have two competing messages: “We will tax the wealthy and redistribute income for social programs” and “We will work with business community to spur the economy.” Each statement cancels the other out.

The vitality of the economy is driven by the level of business activity so the question then becomes what position should the government take during an economic downturn?

After the stock market crash of 1929, the FDR administration tightened its grip on business by instituting the National Recovery Administration and set price and production controls which stifled competition and kept prices artificially high. The notion being, that corporations and the wealthy would pay the brunt of taxes which would ensure the welfare of the general citizenry.

The effect it created was rampant unemployment for almost a decade averaging 16% and at some points reaching as high as 25%. In order for businesses to stay solvent they had to limit their payrolls, however were further aggravated by strong unions who often went on strike as companies asked workers to do more with less in order to meet production demands.

Only until post WWII did the government loosen its grip on business. During the war families built sizable savings resulting from the lack of consumer products available as most manufacturing efforts were devoted to supporting the war effort. After the war, factories retooled to manufacture household goods and consumers showed up in droves with cash in hand and the economy took off.

Despite this lesson of history, today’s far left democrats applaud FDR’s policies based upon the social programs and government controls that the FDR administration developed. Even though the programs were largely unsuccessful in creating any long term prosperity for its citizens or stabilizing the economy, they are still regarded as successful because it increased the power of the government.    

In kindred spirit to FDR’s policies, this is most evidenced by adding a government mandated initiative to the recent economic stimulus package for developing an electronic medical records database. In so doing, sets the platform for government subsidized healthcare program, however does nothing to stimulate the economy.

An example of liberal oriented government involvement lies within the creation of the housing bubble.

Despite the fact that far left democrats view businesses and business leaders as greedy and the cause of our economic ills, they nonetheless instituted lending policies for banks to promote sub prime lending to low income families in the late 1990’s.

In 2004 after receiving an audit came back on Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac indicating that the quality of loans was extremely poor and posed great concern, democrats came out enforce to defeat Senate Bill 190 which called for tighter lending practices. Not surprisingly, the then Senator Barack Obama was one of those democrats voicing opposition to SB 190.

As was then and as is now, true economic reform will never be realized under Democratic Party rule as it is averse to the relevance of the business community as a  partner in achieving economic reform. Only when government views business as a vehicle to promote economic vitality will we see an economic improvement.

However, this attitude will not be realized during the Obama administration. If Obama dare change political direction he would lose all support of his liberal political base - most ravaging would be the liberal media giants who would look upon this as sacrilege of progressive ideals.

At some point the voters will figure this out and hopefully sooner rather than later as the 2010 mid-term elections approach.



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Economy Of Pakistan

economy
Vladimir Gonzalez asked:


Pakistan currently has one of the world’s growing economies. In 2004 the country’s Gross National Income was of more than 90 billion and the GDP was 96.1 billions, while the growth rate was of 6.4 percent annually.

It has grown at this pace since 2004 and until 2009. The World Bank (WB), the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the Asian Development Bank (ADB) have loaned Pakistan on the long term, supporting it financially. In 2006, Pakistan went through a merchandise trade deficit of almost $14 billion. The gap in trading has also risen because of the expensive imported oil, food, automobiles and machinery.

Pakistan became independent in 1947. Back then agriculture dominated, covering 53% of GDP. Nowadays agriculture covers only 1/5 of the economy, as the industrial sector has also developed. The Food and Agriculture Organization of The UN confirms the fact that Pakistan supplies: mangoes, apricots, tangerines, clementines, oranges, rice, date palm, chickpea, cotton, date palm, milk sugarcane and wheat.

Pakistan has one of the biggest irrigation systems in the world, watering the 25 percent of the country which is cultivated. Agriculture helps with the employment of 44 percent of the working population. 60 percent of the country’s total land area cannot be used for agriculture or forestry because it consists of urban settlements or it is not suitable to be cultivated as it is covered by deserts or mountain slopes. These regions can sometimes be used for livestock activity. 90 percent of the agricultural production is watered by use of the irrigation system, an important engineering achievement.

Half of the country’s GDP is accounted for by the service sector: finance, insurance, transport, communications and storage. Tourism is starting to come to life, as the country ahs to offer Indus ruins and Himalayan resorts as tourist attractions. Pakistan’s economy includes industries like chemicals, agriculture, textile or food processing.

Pakistan is rich in natural resources and minerals: limestone, iron ore, diamonds, marble, salt, gypsum, precious metals, copper, sulphur, coal, fire clay, graphite, silica and gems. The province Balochistan is rich in minerals, natural gas and oil and it has not been explored to its full capacity. Pakistan exports furniture, textiles, cement, leather, cotton products and rice.

As for imports, the main elements are: petroleum products, but also pharmaceutical products, automobiles, trucks and transport equipment, computers, machinery of all sorts, electronics, toys, iron and steel, aircraft, electronics, computer components, and defense equipment. Pakistan’s most important trade partners are the United States of America, China, Japan and countries in the European Union.



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How would our economy change if we became a nation of savers instead of spenders?

economy
CLK_2006 asked:


This is a big if hypothetical question. Surely, there would be huge changes in the dynamics of economy. I curious what some of this changes would be.

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